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Serie A · ItalyHIGH

Sunday, 24 May 2026 · 18:45

AC Milan vs Cagliari — Sunday, 24 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

18:45

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Cagliari logo

Cagliari

WWLDW
60%26%14%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:60%

AI Reasoning

# AC Milan vs Cagliari - Statistical Analysis The model's 60% home win probability for AC Milan is primarily driven by Cagliari's relatively low away shots on target per match, which historically favors the home team, combined with AC Milan's superior Elo rating that reflects their stronger overall quality compared to their visitor. The 26% draw probability and 14% away win probability reflect that while Milan are clear favorites, Cagliari still maintains a reasonable chance of either drawing or pulling off an upset, supported by the fact that Milan's corner creation advantage adds only modest additional predictive value.

High confidence due to clear statistical advantage and consistent team performance patterns.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Угловые хозяев / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.68
AC
1.10
Cagliari

Possession

55%44%
ACCagliari

Shots on Target

20
AC
25
Cagliari

Head to Head

6 matches

3

AC

2

Draws

1

Cagliari

Injury Report

AC Milan

Injured3

Cagliari

Injured8

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