Atalanta vs Bologna — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

# Atalanta vs Bologna: Statistical Analysis The model assigns Atalanta a 45% win probability primarily because Bologna's away shot accuracy statistic works against them (reducing their winning chances by 2.88%), while Atalanta's superior Elo rating provides them a 1.72% home advantage. However, Atalanta's poor recent head-to-head form at home (reducing their win probability by 1.21%) prevents higher confidence, explaining why the draw probability remains elevated at 30% and Bologna's away win chance reaches 25%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.