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La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00

Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Athletic Club logo

Athletic Club

LWLWL

17:00

Estadio de San Mamés

Celta Vigo logo

Celta Vigo

LWWLL
39%31%30%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:39%

AI Reasoning

# Analysis of Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo Probabilities The model assigns Athletic Club a modest 39% win probability because away teams' shot accuracy and the frequency of draws in home matches are pulling down the home team's winning chances, creating a relatively balanced prediction. Celta Vigo's away performance metrics are notably influencing the forecast, as the data suggests visiting teams have been effective in this matchup context, which explains why the away victory probability (30%) remains competitive despite Athletic Club playing at home.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Процент ничьих хозяев

Away

Процент побед хозяев

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.43
Athletic
1.36
Celta

Possession

50%50%
AthleticCelta

Shots on Target

20
Athletic
22
Celta

Head to Head

7 matches

4

Athletic

0

Draws

3

Celta

Injury Report

Athletic Club

Injured4

Celta Vigo

Injured6

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