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La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00

Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Athletic Club logo

Athletic Club

LDLLW

17:00

Estadio de San Mamés

Celta Vigo logo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW
39%31%30%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:39%

AI Reasoning

The model slightly favors Athletic Club at home with 39%, but assigns relatively balanced probabilities across all three outcomes due to mixed statistical signals. Celta Vigo's recent shot accuracy and underlying expected goals metrics are constraining the home advantage, resulting in the draw and away win probabilities being nearly as high as the home victory, reflecting genuine competitive uncertainty between these teams.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG против хозяев (5 матчей)

Home

Удары гостей в створ (5 матчей)

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.43
Athletic
1.35
Celta

Possession

50%50%
AthleticCelta

Shots on Target

23
Athletic
18
Celta

Head to Head

8 matches

4

Athletic

1

Draws

3

Celta

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