← Back to predictions
AwayHomeAway
La Liga · SpainLOW
Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00
Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Athletic Club
LDLLW
17:00
Estadio de San Mamés

Celta Vigo
WDLWW
39%31%30%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:39%
AI Reasoning
The model slightly favors Athletic Club at home with 39%, but assigns relatively balanced probabilities across all three outcomes due to mixed statistical signals. Celta Vigo's recent shot accuracy and underlying expected goals metrics are constraining the home advantage, resulting in the draw and away win probabilities being nearly as high as the home victory, reflecting genuine competitive uncertainty between these teams.
Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.
Key Signals
Удары гостей в створ / матч
xG против хозяев (5 матчей)
Удары гостей в створ (5 матчей)
xG (Expected Goals)
1.43Athletic
1.35Celta
Possession
50%50%
AthleticCelta
Shots on Target
23Athletic
18Celta
Head to Head
8 matches
4
Athletic
1
Draws
3
Celta
Place Your Bet
18+ · Gamble Responsibly · T&Cs apply.