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La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 14:15

Athletic Club vs Valencia — Sunday, 10 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Athletic Club logo

Athletic Club

LWLWL

14:15

Estadio de San Mamés

Valencia logo

Valencia

WLWDL
41%29%30%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

# Analysis of Athletic Club vs Valencia Prediction The model's relatively modest 40% home win probability reflects that Athletic Club's recent defensive vulnerability (conceding goals in their last 5 matches) and elevated home loss rate are offsetting their home advantage, which explains why Valencia's away win probability remains competitive at 30%. Additionally, Valencia's tendency to draw away matches is a significant factor keeping the draw probability elevated at 29%, suggesting this fixture has characteristics typical of closely contested games rather than a clear home dominance scenario.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Процент ничьих хозяев

Away

Разница Elo

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.43
Athletic
1.25
Valencia

Possession

50%48%
AthleticValencia

Shots on Target

20
Athletic
17
Valencia

Head to Head

8 matches

4

Athletic

1

Draws

3

Valencia

Injury Report

Athletic Club

Injured4

Valencia

Injured6

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