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Bundesliga · GermanyHIGH

Saturday, 16 May 2026 · 13:30

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln — Saturday, 16 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

13:30

Allianz Arena

1. FC Köln logo

1. FC Köln

LLDLD
55%31%14%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:55%

AI Reasoning

# Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln - Statistical Analysis The model's 57% home win probability primarily reflects Bayern's superior Elo rating difference and their historically strong home win percentage, which together push the prediction toward a Bayern victory. However, Köln's away shot accuracy on target introduces notable uncertainty, preventing a higher home win probability and explaining why the model assigns a meaningful 31% draw probability and 12% away win chance.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Процент побед хозяев

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

2.61
Bayern
1.43
1.

Possession

66%48%
Bayern1.

Shots on Target

37
Bayern
24
1.

Head to Head

6 matches

5

Bayern

1

Draws

0

1.

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