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Bundesliga · GermanyHIGH
Saturday, 16 May 2026 · 13:30
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln — Saturday, 16 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction
55%31%14%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:55%
AI Reasoning
# Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln - Statistical Analysis The model's 57% home win probability primarily reflects Bayern's superior Elo rating difference and their historically strong home win percentage, which together push the prediction toward a Bayern victory. However, Köln's away shot accuracy on target introduces notable uncertainty, preventing a higher home win probability and explaining why the model assigns a meaningful 31% draw probability and 12% away win chance.
Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.
Key Signals
Удары гостей в створ / матч
Разница Elo
Процент побед хозяев
xG (Expected Goals)
2.61Bayern
1.431.
Possession
66%48%
Bayern1.
Shots on Target
37Bayern
241.
Head to Head
6 matches
5
Bayern
1
Draws
0
1.
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