Cagliari vs Torino — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Cagliari only a 36% win probability despite being at home because Torino's away-game shooting accuracy (on-target shots per match) is exceptionally strong, which substantially reduces Cagliari's home advantage. Additionally, Cagliari's poor historical record against Torino combined with Torino's superior away-game goal-scoring record creates a significant statistical headwind that keeps the home win probability relatively modest and elevates Torino's away win chances to 35%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.