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La Liga · SpainLOW

Saturday, 23 May 2026 · 19:00

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Saturday, 23 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Celta Vigo logo

Celta Vigo

WDLWW

19:00

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Sevilla logo

Sevilla

LLWWW
44%35%22%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:44%

AI Reasoning

# Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Statistical Analysis The model assigns Celta Vigo a 44% win probability primarily because the data shows Sevilla's shots on target per match is the strongest factor pushing toward an away victory, while Celta's own shot conversion rate and their Elo rating advantage provide meaningful but smaller support for a home win. The relatively balanced probabilities across all three outcomes (44-35-22) reflect that while Celta have home advantage and rating strength in their favor, Sevilla's attacking efficiency presents a genuine competitive threat that prevents a more decisive home favorite prediction.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.35
Celta
1.18
Sevilla

Possession

50%51%
CeltaSevilla

Shots on Target

18
Celta
24
Sevilla

Head to Head

8 matches

4

Celta

3

Draws

1

Sevilla

Injury Report

Celta Vigo

Injured4

Sevilla

Injured7

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