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La Liga · SpainLOW

Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 12:00

Elche vs Alaves — Saturday, 9 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Elche logo

Elche

LDLWW

12:00

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Alaves logo

Alaves

WDLWL
44%28%28%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:44%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Elche a 44% win probability primarily because Alaves's away shot accuracy has historically been a significant factor favoring the visiting team, while Elche's home shot accuracy and ball possession provide moderate supporting factors for a home victory. However, these advantages are relatively modest in magnitude, which explains why the model still assigns substantial probabilities to a draw (28%) and an away win (28%), suggesting the match is quite competitive despite Elche's slight edge as home side.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Владение мячом хозяев %

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.16
Elche
1.20
Alaves

Possession

52%45%
ElcheAlaves

Shots on Target

21
Elche
20
Alaves

Head to Head

7 matches

3

Elche

1

Draws

3

Alaves

Injury Report

Elche

Injured4

Alaves

Injured4

Place Your Bet

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