Elche vs Alaves — Saturday, 9 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model slightly favors Elche at home (37%) because of their superior ball possession advantage, though this is moderated by Alaves' notable efficiency in shots on target away from home, which keeps their away win probability competitive at 35%. The relatively tight three-way split reflects how Alaves' clinical finishing on the road nearly neutralizes Elche's home field advantages in possession and shot creation, making a draw the least likely but still plausible outcome at 29%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.