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La Liga · SpainLOW

Saturday, 23 May 2026 · 19:00

Espanyol vs Real Sociedad — Saturday, 23 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Espanyol logo

Espanyol

DWWLL

19:00

RCDE Stadium

Real Sociedad logo

Real Sociedad

DLDDL
41%26%33%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

# Espanyol vs Real Sociedad: Statistical Explanation The model assigns Espanyol only a 41% win probability despite playing at home because Real Sociedad's visiting team statistics are notably strong—particularly their on-target shots per match, which provides them with a significant advantage that outweighs Espanyol's home benefit. While Espanyol shows some positive indicators through their shooting accuracy at home, Real Sociedad's superior ball possession when visiting and clinical finishing on the road are weighted heavily enough by the model to make this match competitive, explaining the relatively balanced distribution across all three outcomes.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Владение мячом хозяев %

Away

Точность ударов хозяев %

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.18
Espanyol
1.35
Real

Possession

42%54%
EspanyolReal

Shots on Target

24
Espanyol
15
Real

Head to Head

6 matches

0

Espanyol

2

Draws

4

Real

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