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Bundesliga · GermanyLOW

Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 17:30

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin — Sunday, 10 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 logo

FSV Mainz 05

WLWLD

17:30

Mewa Arena

Union Berlin logo

Union Berlin

WWDLL
40%27%32%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:40%

AI Reasoning

# Statistical Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin The model assigns a 40% probability to a Mainz home win primarily because Union Berlin arrives with a poor away form streak, which substantially favors the home team, while Mainz's superior ball possession percentage further reinforces their advantage. However, Union Berlin's strong away possession statistics narrow the gap considerably, explaining why the draw (33%) and away win (26%) probabilities remain relatively competitive rather than heavily skewed toward the home side.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Владение мячом хозяев %

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Процент побед хозяев

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.51
FSV
1.24
Union

Possession

46%42%
FSVUnion

Shots on Target

33
FSV
29
Union

Head to Head

8 matches

0

FSV

4

Draws

4

Union

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