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Serie A · ItalyMEDIUM

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 10:30

Genoa vs AC Milan — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Genoa logo

Genoa

DDLWW

10:30

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

21%27%51%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:51%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns AC Milan a 51% away win probability because AC Milan has a significant Elo rating advantage over Genoa and has demonstrated superior shot accuracy on the road, with these two factors being the strongest drivers of the prediction. Genoa's home advantage is somewhat undermined by their lower Elo rating and weaker shot conversion record, which prevents the home win probability from rising above 21% despite the home-field benefit.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.04
Genoa
1.68
AC

Possession

46%55%
GenoaAC

Shots on Target

18
Genoa
17
AC

Head to Head

5 matches

0

Genoa

3

Draws

2

AC

Injury Report

Genoa

Injured5

AC Milan

Injured3

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