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La Liga · SpainLOW

Saturday, 23 May 2026 · 19:00

Girona vs Elche — Saturday, 23 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Girona logo

Girona

DLDDL

19:00

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Elche logo

Elche

DWLDL
41%32%27%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Girona a 41% win probability primarily because Elche's away shot accuracy is unusually strong (the biggest factor pushing toward an away win), but this is partially offset by Girona's superior Elo rating and home advantage in goal-scoring ability. However, these factors are relatively balanced, which is why the model also gives substantial probability to a draw (32%) and Elche victory (27%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in this matchup.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Голы хозяев / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.45
Girona
1.14
Elche

Possession

54%52%
GironaElche

Shots on Target

31
Girona
15
Elche

Head to Head

10 matches

4

Girona

1

Draws

5

Elche

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