Girona vs Real Sociedad — Thursday, 14 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Girona only a 38% win probability despite playing at home because Real Sociedad's away team shows exceptionally strong historical performance in shots on target and goals scored, which are the dominant statistical factors driving down the home side's winning chances. The relatively close probabilities across all three outcomes (38-34% for wins) reflect that while Girona has a modest home-field advantage in their own shot accuracy, Real Sociedad's superior away-team metrics in finishing and shot creation nearly neutralize this advantage.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.