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Bundesliga · GermanyLOW

Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 13:30

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg — Sunday, 10 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Hamburger SV logo

Hamburger SV

DWWLL

13:30

Volksparkstadion

SC Freiburg logo

SC Freiburg

WLDLW
34%25%41%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

# Match Analysis: Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg The model assigns SC Freiburg a 41% win probability primarily because Freiburg's shot accuracy and efficiency metrics are particularly strong relative to their opponent, which statistically favors the visiting team in this matchup. However, this advantage is partially offset by Hamburg's home-ground benefit and superior Elo rating, which explains why the model gives the home side a meaningful 36% chance while keeping the draw probability at 23%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Голы гостей / матч

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.22
Hamburger
1.45
SC

Possession

46%48%
HamburgerSC

Shots on Target

22
Hamburger
19
SC

Head to Head

18 matches

6

Hamburger

6

Draws

6

SC

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