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Serie A · ItalyHIGH

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 10:00

Juventus vs Fiorentina — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

10:00

Allianz Stadium

56%21%23%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:56%

AI Reasoning

# Statistical Analysis: Juventus vs Fiorentina The model assigns Juventus a 56% win probability primarily because Fiorentina's historically lower shot accuracy as the away team significantly reduces their scoring threat, while Juventus benefits from both their superior Elo rating differential and their strong home win percentage. However, the relatively modest 56% prediction reflects that these advantages are not overwhelming, leaving a meaningful 23% probability for an away victory and 21% for a draw.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Процент побед хозяев

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.55
Juventus
1.46
Fiorentina

Possession

53%54%
JuventusFiorentina

Shots on Target

31
Juventus
15
Fiorentina

Head to Head

8 matches

3

Juventus

3

Draws

2

Fiorentina

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