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Serie A · ItalyMEDIUM

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 10:30

Juventus vs Fiorentina — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

10:30

Allianz Stadium

51%31%18%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:51%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Juventus a narrow 51% win probability because while their Elo rating advantage and home-field status provide moderate support for a home victory, Fiorentina's strong recent shot conversion rate and Juventus's defensive vulnerabilities in their last five matches (indicated by goals conceded) substantially reduce the gap. These offsetting factors result in the relatively balanced probabilities, with the draw at 31% reflecting the genuine competitiveness suggested by the underlying statistics.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Пропущено хозяевами (5 матчей)

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.55
Juventus
1.47
Fiorentina

Possession

53%54%
JuventusFiorentina

Shots on Target

24
Juventus
12
Fiorentina

Head to Head

7 matches

3

Juventus

3

Draws

1

Fiorentina

Injury Report

Juventus

Injured2

Fiorentina

Injured5

Place Your Bet

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