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Serie A · ItalyMEDIUM

Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 18:45

Lecce vs Juventus — Saturday, 9 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Lecce logo

Lecce

LWDDL

18:45

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

16%32%52%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:52%

AI Reasoning

# Analysis of Model Probabilities: Lecce vs Juventus The model strongly favors a Juventus away victory (52%) primarily because Juventus holds a significant Elo rating advantage, which is the dominant factor influencing the prediction. The 32% draw probability reflects that Lecce's home shot accuracy and recent expected goals are not strong enough to overcome Juventus's superior overall quality, though these home metrics provide some resistance to a decisive away win.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

xG хозяев (5 матчей)

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

0.99
Lecce
1.55
Juventus

Possession

43%53%
LecceJuventus

Shots on Target

14
Lecce
24
Juventus

Head to Head

8 matches

0

Lecce

2

Draws

6

Juventus

Injury Report

Lecce

Injured5

Juventus

Injured2

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