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Ligue 1 · FranceLOW

Wednesday, 13 May 2026 · 19:00

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain — Wednesday, 13 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Lens logo

Lens

WLWDD

19:00

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

41%20%39%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Lens a 41% win probability because Paris Saint-Germain's superior Elo rating and their strong away performance metrics (goals and shots on target per match) significantly boost their chances, making them competitive despite playing at Lens' home ground. However, the relatively close probabilities across all outcomes (41-39% between home and away wins) reflect that while PSG's quality is evident in the data, Lens' home advantage still provides meaningful competitive balance in this matchup.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Голы гостей / матч

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.73
Lens
2.25
Paris

Possession

54%66%
LensParis

Shots on Target

30
Lens
27
Paris

Head to Head

8 matches

1

Lens

0

Draws

7

Paris

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