Lille vs Auxerre — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Lille only a modest 41% win probability despite being at home because Auxerre's away performance—particularly their consistent shots on target per match—is a significant strength that counteracts the typical home advantage. Additionally, while Lille holds an Elo rating advantage and generally benefit from playing at home, their recent defensive record (goals conceded over five matches) is weaker than expected, which the model interprets as reducing their likelihood of securing a comfortable victory.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

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