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Premier League · EnglandMEDIUM

Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 11:30

Liverpool vs Chelsea — Saturday, 9 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

11:30

Anfield

Chelsea logo

Chelsea

LWDLL
48%24%28%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:48%

AI Reasoning

# Liverpool vs Chelsea: Statistical Analysis The model assigns Liverpool a 47% win probability primarily because home advantage factors—including Liverpool's historical win percentage and their superior Elo rating compared to Chelsea—provide meaningful support for a home victory. However, Chelsea's away shot accuracy is a notable countervailing factor that reduces Liverpool's winning chances to below 50%, while also elevating the probability of both a draw (25%) and an away win (27%) more than typical home matches would suggest.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

xG против гостей (5 матчей)

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

2.07
Liverpool
1.76
Chelsea

Possession

60%58%
LiverpoolChelsea

Shots on Target

24
Liverpool
15
Chelsea

Head to Head

8 matches

2

Liverpool

4

Draws

2

Chelsea

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