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Ligue 1 · FranceLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 19:00

Lorient vs Le Havre — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Lorient logo

Lorient

LWDLW

19:00

Stade du Moustoir

Le Havre logo

Le Havre

WLDDD
41%31%28%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Lorient a 41% win probability primarily because Le Havre's away shot accuracy is historically weak, which substantially reduces their threat despite playing away from home. However, this advantage is partially offset by Le Havre's relatively high draw rate and the teams' comparable Elo ratings, which explains why the draw probability (31%) remains competitive and the away win probability (28%) is not negligible.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Процент ничьих хозяев

Home

Разница Elo

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.31
Lorient
1.17
Le

Possession

46%45%
LorientLe

Shots on Target

22
Lorient
21
Le

Head to Head

11 matches

5

Lorient

4

Draws

2

Le

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