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Ligue 1 · FranceLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 19:00

Marseille vs Rennes — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

19:00

Orange Vélodrome

Rennes logo

Rennes

WLWWW
41%23%36%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Marseille a 41% win probability because their home advantage metrics for corners and shots on target are moderately positive factors, though this is significantly offset by Rennes' away team strength in generating shots on target, which the model weights heavily at 0.267. This creates a relatively balanced matchup where Marseille's home advantage is only a slight edge, explaining why the draw and away win probabilities remain competitive at 23% and 36% respectively.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Угловые хозяев / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.79
Marseille
1.61
Rennes

Possession

58%53%
MarseilleRennes

Shots on Target

28
Marseille
31
Rennes

Head to Head

7 matches

4

Marseille

1

Draws

2

Rennes

Injury Report

Marseille

Injured10

Rennes

Injured4

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