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Ligue 1 · FranceMEDIUM

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 19:00

Marseille vs Rennes — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

19:00

Orange Vélodrome

Rennes logo

Rennes

LWLWW
46%25%29%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:46%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Marseille a 46% win probability because home advantage factors—particularly Marseille's corner-taking frequency and shot accuracy—provide meaningful support for a home victory. However, Rennes' away shot accuracy on target is the single strongest factor in the analysis, creating enough uncertainty to keep Marseille's win probability below 50% and give Rennes a competitive 29% chance, with a 25% draw probability balancing the outcome.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Угловые хозяев / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.80
Marseille
1.62
Rennes

Possession

58%53%
MarseilleRennes

Shots on Target

30
Marseille
30
Rennes

Head to Head

8 matches

5

Marseille

1

Draws

2

Rennes

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