Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid — Tuesday, 12 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Atletico Madrid a 40% away win probability primarily because they have a significant Elo rating advantage over Osasuna, combined with their superior away shot accuracy per match, which are the two strongest factors driving the prediction. Meanwhile, Osasuna's home advantage is weaker than Atletico's overall quality edge, resulting in only a 36% home win probability and limiting the draw probability to 24%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.