Osasuna vs Espanyol — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Osasuna a modest 37% win probability because while they benefit from home advantage through their Elo rating difference, Espanyol's strong away form—evidenced by their shot accuracy on target and overall Elo strength—significantly narrows Osasuna's edge and pushes the draw probability to 32%. The relatively balanced factors between home and away advantages explain why the model sees all three outcomes as closely competitive, with away victory at 30% remaining a credible possibility.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

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