Oviedo vs Alaves — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

# Statistical Analysis: Oviedo vs Alaves The model assigns Alaves a 40% win probability primarily because the away team's historical goal-scoring performance and accumulated seasonal points are the strongest predictive factors, both favoring the visiting side. However, Oviedo's defensive record (conceding fewer goals at home) provides meaningful counter-support, which is why the home win probability (27%) is elevated relative to what a pure away-focused model might suggest, resulting in a relatively balanced three-outcome distribution.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

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