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La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00

Oviedo vs Alaves — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Oviedo logo

Oviedo

LLLDL

17:00

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Alaves logo

Alaves

LWWDL
35%31%35%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:35%

AI Reasoning

# Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Alaves The model assigns nearly equal probabilities across all three outcomes because Alaves' away performance metrics present a mixed picture—while their shots on target per match and the opposition's expected goals against them both favor them as the away side, these advantages are relatively modest and balanced by Oviedo's home strength. This statistical equilibrium, where no single factor dominates the prediction, explains why the model sees this as an essentially competitive encounter with Alaves holding only a marginal edge, reflected in their identical 35% probability for both a win and a defeat.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Away

xG против гостей (5 матчей)

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

0.94
Oviedo
1.21
Alaves

Possession

46%45%
OviedoAlaves

Shots on Target

10
Oviedo
23
Alaves

Head to Head

4 matches

0

Oviedo

2

Draws

2

Alaves

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