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Ligue 1 · FranceMEDIUM

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 19:00

Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Paris FC logo

Paris FC

LWLWW

19:00

Stade Jean Bouin

34%21%45%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:45%

AI Reasoning

# Statistical Analysis: Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain The model assigns Paris Saint Germain a 45% away win probability primarily because their superior ball possession (away_advantage factor, magnitude 0.320) and significant Elo rating advantage (magnitude 0.203) have historically been strong predictors of away team success. Additionally, Paris Saint Germain's higher on-target shot rate per match (magnitude 0.178) suggests they create more clinical finishing opportunities, which further supports their away victory likelihood over the home side.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Владение мячом гостей %

Away

Разница Elo

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.30
Paris
2.27
Paris

Possession

51%66%
ParisParis

Shots on Target

24
Paris
34
Paris

Head to Head

3 matches

2

Paris

0

Draws

1

Paris

Injury Report

Paris FC

Injured4

Paris Saint Germain

Injured9

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