Rayo Vallecano vs Girona — Monday, 11 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model assigns Rayo Vallecano a 42% win probability primarily because Girona's away shot accuracy and goal-scoring efficiency have historically been weaker factors in away matches, while Rayo's home advantage and Elo rating difference provide modest support for a home victory. However, the probabilities remain relatively balanced across all outcomes because these statistical advantages are not overwhelming, leaving meaningful chances for both a draw (28%) and an away Girona win (30%).

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

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