← Back to predictions
La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Rayo Vallecano logo

Rayo Vallecano

DWDWL

17:00

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

31%31%39%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:39%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Villarreal a 38% win probability as the away team primarily because their shooting accuracy, recent form over five matches, and goals per game are all notably strong—these three factors are the dominant statistical drivers favoring an away victory. However, these advantages are tempered enough that the model still gives Rayo Vallecano a significant 30% home win chance, resulting in a relatively competitive match prediction with a 32% draw probability in between.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Голы хозяев / матч

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.27
Rayo
1.65
Villarreal

Possession

51%50%
RayoVillarreal

Shots on Target

29
Rayo
23
Villarreal

Head to Head

7 matches

2

Rayo

2

Draws

3

Villarreal

Injury Report

Rayo Vallecano

Injured7

Villarreal

Injured3

Place Your Bet

18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.