Sassuolo vs Lecce — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

The model gives Sassuolo a 44% win probability primarily because Lecce's shot accuracy on target is historically strong away from home, which works against the home side, while Lecce's overall Elo rating also provides them competitive depth in this matchup. However, Sassuolo still maintains a home advantage based on the Elo rating difference between the two teams, which explains why they remain favorites despite these factors favoring the visitors.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.