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Serie A · ItalyLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 18:45

Sassuolo vs Lecce — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Sassuolo logo

Sassuolo

LWDWL

18:45

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Lecce logo

Lecce

LWDDL
41%34%26%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:41%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Sassuolo a 41% win probability primarily because Lecce's away shot accuracy is exceptionally strong, which notably reduces the home team's winning chances despite Sassuolo's slight Elo rating advantage. However, the Elo rating difference between the two teams still favors the home side enough to make them slight favorites, though not by much, resulting in a relatively balanced three-way split with draws at 34% and Lecce away wins at 26%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Elo рейтинг гостей

Away

Разница Elo

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.24
Sassuolo
0.99
Lecce

Possession

46%43%
SassuoloLecce

Shots on Target

22
Sassuolo
14
Lecce

Head to Head

5 matches

2

Sassuolo

2

Draws

1

Lecce

Injury Report

Sassuolo

Injured6

Lecce

Injured5

Place Your Bet

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