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Bundesliga · GermanyLOW

Saturday, 16 May 2026 · 13:30

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig — Saturday, 16 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

SC Freiburg logo

SC Freiburg

LDLWW

13:30

Europa-Park Stadion

31%26%42%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:42%

AI Reasoning

# Analysis of RB Leipzig Win Probability The model assigns RB Leipzig a significant 42% away win probability primarily because Leipzig's Elo rating advantage is the strongest positive factor in the prediction, combined with their superior shot conversion efficiency on the road. Meanwhile, Freiburg's home advantage is undermined by their relatively weaker shot accuracy at home, which prevents the home team from achieving odds better than 31%, resulting in a closely contested match where Leipzig's quality metrics give them the statistical edge despite playing away.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.45
SC
1.81
RB

Possession

48%55%
SCRB

Shots on Target

17
SC
39
RB

Head to Head

7 matches

0

SC

1

Draws

6

RB

Injury Report

SC Freiburg

Injured3

RB Leipzig

Injured4

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