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La Liga · SpainLOW

Sunday, 17 May 2026 · 17:00

Sevilla vs Real Madrid — Sunday, 17 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Sevilla logo

Sevilla

LLWWW

17:00

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

26%31%43%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:43%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Real Madrid a significant 43% away win probability primarily because their Elo rating advantage is the strongest factor pushing toward an away victory, suggesting they have superior overall quality. However, this edge is meaningfully constrained by Sevilla's strong home shooting efficiency and Real Madrid's below-average away shooting accuracy, which keep the home win and draw probabilities competitive at 28% and 29% respectively.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.18
Sevilla
1.95
Real

Possession

51%60%
SevillaReal

Shots on Target

24
Sevilla
22
Real

Head to Head

8 matches

0

Sevilla

1

Draws

7

Real

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