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Ligue 1 · FranceLOW

Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 19:00

Toulouse vs Lyon — Sunday, 10 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Toulouse logo

Toulouse

WWDLL

19:00

Stadium de Toulouse

Lyon logo

Lyon

LWWWW
37%25%38%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:38%

AI Reasoning

# Statistical Analysis: Toulouse vs Lyon The model assigns Lyon a 38% win probability primarily because the away team's goal-scoring metrics show a significant advantage over Toulouse's home defensive performance, which outweighs the typical home-field benefits in corners and goals that normally favor the hosts. This combination of strong away attacking capability against relatively weaker home defending creates a competitive matchup where Lyon's away strength nearly balances out Toulouse's modest home advantage, resulting in the model favoring an away win while still assigning substantial probability to a draw.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Пропущено ударов хозяевами / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.42
Toulouse
1.69
Lyon

Possession

47%55%
ToulouseLyon

Shots on Target

20
Toulouse
28
Lyon

Head to Head

8 matches

2

Toulouse

2

Draws

4

Lyon

Injury Report

Toulouse

Injured4

Lyon

Injured6

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