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Ligue 1 · FranceLOW

Sunday, 10 May 2026 · 19:00

Toulouse vs Lyon — Sunday, 10 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Toulouse logo

Toulouse

WWDLL

19:00

Stadium de Toulouse

Lyon logo

Lyon

LLWWW
32%28%40%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:40%

AI Reasoning

# Toulouse vs Lyon - Statistical Analysis The model assigns Lyon a 40% away win probability primarily because Lyon's superior Elo rating gives them a significant competitive advantage, combined with their historical strong performance in shots on target and goal-scoring metrics per match. These offensive capabilities and rating advantage outweigh Toulouse's home ground benefit, which is why the away win probability exceeds the home win probability despite the home team typically benefiting from playing in their own stadium.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Голы гостей / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.42
Toulouse
1.69
Lyon

Possession

47%55%
ToulouseLyon

Shots on Target

20
Toulouse
28
Lyon

Head to Head

8 matches

2

Toulouse

2

Draws

4

Lyon

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