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Bundesliga · GermanyLOW

Saturday, 16 May 2026 · 13:30

Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg — Saturday, 16 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Union Berlin logo

Union Berlin

WWDLL

13:30

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

FC Augsburg logo

FC Augsburg

LWWDW
37%31%32%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:37%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns nearly even probabilities across all three outcomes because the match features conflicting statistical indicators: Union Berlin's home advantage in shot accuracy is substantially offset by Augsburg's superior Elo rating difference and their own shot accuracy metrics. These opposing forces essentially neutralize each other, resulting in the model viewing this as a closely balanced contest with a slight lean toward the home team at 35%.

Low confidence - this is a very close matchup with multiple possible outcomes.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.24
Union
1.23
FC

Possession

42%43%
UnionFC

Shots on Target

29
Union
26
FC

Head to Head

8 matches

2

Union

3

Draws

3

FC

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