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Bundesliga · GermanyMEDIUM

Saturday, 9 May 2026 · 13:30

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen — Saturday, 9 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

VfB Stuttgart logo

VfB Stuttgart

WDDLW

13:30

MHPArena

46%23%30%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Home Win·Confidence:46%

AI Reasoning

The model assigns Stuttgart a 46% win probability primarily because Leverkusen's away shot accuracy is exceptionally strong statistically, which pushes down Stuttgart's winning chances despite playing at home. Stuttgart's home advantage is partially supported by their corner-taking frequency and Elo rating difference, but these factors are not strong enough to overcome the predictive weight of Leverkusen's impressive away shooting record, resulting in a relatively competitive match expectation.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

Разница Elo

Home

Угловые хозяев / матч

Home

xG (Expected Goals)

1.84
VfB
1.86
Bayer

Possession

56%58%
VfBBayer

Shots on Target

36
VfB
30
Bayer

Head to Head

8 matches

2

VfB

4

Draws

2

Bayer

Injury Report

VfB Stuttgart

Injured4

Bayer Leverkusen

Injured2

Place Your Bet

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