← Back to predictions
Bundesliga · GermanyMEDIUM

Saturday, 16 May 2026 · 13:30

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund — Saturday, 16 May 2026 | AI Football Prediction

Werder Bremen logo

Werder Bremen

LLDWL

13:30

Weserstadion

17%30%52%
Home WinDrawAway Win
Predicted:Away Win·Confidence:52%

AI Reasoning

# Statistical Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund The model assigns a strong 52% probability to a Borussia Dortmund away victory primarily because Dortmund has a significant Elo rating advantage, which is the dominant factor driving the prediction. This away win probability is further supported by Dortmund's superior shot accuracy record per match, offsetting Bremen's relatively stronger home-based shooting output, which alone cannot overcome the visitors' overall statistical superiority.

Medium confidence - teams are relatively evenly matched with some uncertainty in the outcome.

Key Signals

Разница Elo

Away

Удары хозяев в створ / матч

Home

Удары гостей в створ / матч

Away

xG (Expected Goals)

1.39
Werder
1.99
Borussia

Possession

49%57%
WerderBorussia

Shots on Target

21
Werder
18
Borussia

Head to Head

7 matches

1

Werder

2

Draws

4

Borussia

Injury Report

Werder Bremen

Injured7

Borussia Dortmund

Injured5

Place Your Bet

18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.