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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3
Sunday, 28 June 2026 at 02:00Arrowhead Stadium
Algeria

Algeria

Elo Rating: 1725
VS
Austria

Austria

Elo Rating: 1800
Win Probability
32%
Home Win
20%
Draw
49%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Austria (+75 pts)
  • 2Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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