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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2
Sunday, 21 June 2026 at 19:00SoFi Stadium
Belgium

Belgium

Elo Rating: 1895
VS
Iran

Iran

Elo Rating: 1795
Win Probability
52%
Home Win
19%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Belgium (+100 pts)
  • 2Belgium is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.