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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3
Saturday, 27 June 2026 at 21:00Lincoln Financial Field
Croatia

Croatia

Elo Rating: 1880
VS
Ghana

Ghana

Elo Rating: 1720
Win Probability
59%
Home Win
18%
Draw
23%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for Croatia (+160 pts)
  • 2Croatia is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.