Ecuador

Elo Rating: 1760

Curaçao

Elo Rating: 1600

Win Probability

59%

Home Win

18%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Predicted: Home Win

Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

1Significant Elo advantage for Ecuador (+160 pts)
2Limited H2H history between these sides
3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.