← World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 at 01:00SoFi Stadium
Iran

Iran

Elo Rating: 1795
VS
New Zealand

New Zealand

Elo Rating: 1650
Win Probability
57%
Home Win
18%
Draw
25%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Iran (+145 pts)
  • 2Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.