← World Cup 2026

FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1Tuesday, 16 June 2026 at 22:00Gillette Stadium

Iraq
Elo Rating: 1710
VS

Norway
Elo Rating: 1780
Win Probability
32%
Home Win
20%
Draw
48%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM
Key Factors
- 1Moderate Elo edge for Norway (+70 pts)
- 2Limited H2H history between these sides
- 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage
Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions
This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.
Place Your Bet
18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.