← World Cup 2026

FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1Thursday, 11 June 2026 at 19:00Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Mexico
Elo Rating: 1825
VS

South Africa
Elo Rating: 1690
Win Probability
56%
Home Win
18%
Draw
26%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM
Key Factors
- 1Moderate Elo edge for Mexico (+135 pts)
- 2H2H record over 1 historical meetings analysed
- 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage
H2H analysed: 1 matches
Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions
This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.
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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.