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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Thursday, 11 June 2026 at 19:00Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico

Mexico

Elo Rating: 1825
VS
South Africa

South Africa

Elo Rating: 1690
Win Probability
56%
Home Win
18%
Draw
26%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Mexico (+135 pts)
  • 2H2H record over 1 historical meetings analysed
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 1 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.