← World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 at 22:00Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Morocco

Morocco

Elo Rating: 1840
VS
Haiti

Haiti

Elo Rating: 1600
Win Probability
68%
Home Win
15%
Draw
17%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for Morocco (+240 pts)
  • 2Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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