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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2
Saturday, 20 June 2026 at 17:00NRG Stadium
Netherlands

Netherlands

Elo Rating: 1905
VS
Sweden

Sweden

Elo Rating: 1770
Win Probability
64%
Home Win
18%
Draw
18%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Netherlands (+135 pts)
  • 2Netherlands is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3H2H record over 2 historical meetings analysed
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 2 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.