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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3
Friday, 26 June 2026 at 19:00Gillette Stadium
Norway

Norway

Elo Rating: 1780
VS
France

France

Elo Rating: 1975
Win Probability
20%
Home Win
17%
Draw
63%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for France (+195 pts)
  • 2France is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.