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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2Tuesday, 23 June 2026 at 23:00BMO Field

Panama
Elo Rating: 1740
VS

Croatia
Elo Rating: 1880
Win Probability
25%
Home Win
18%
Draw
57%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM
Key Factors
- 1Moderate Elo edge for Croatia (+140 pts)
- 2Croatia is a top-10 ranked nation
- 3Limited H2H history between these sides
- 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage
Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions
This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.
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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.