← World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 at 17:00NRG Stadium
Portugal

Portugal

Elo Rating: 1935
VS
Congo DR

Congo DR

Elo Rating: 1600
Win Probability
76%
Home Win
13%
Draw
11%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for Portugal (+335 pts)
  • 2Portugal is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.