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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 1
Monday, 15 June 2026 at 22:00Hard Rock Stadium
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

Elo Rating: 1760
VS
Uruguay

Uruguay

Elo Rating: 1870
Win Probability
20%
Home Win
19%
Draw
61%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Uruguay (+110 pts)
  • 2H2H record over 1 historical meetings analysed
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 1 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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