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FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 3
Friday, 26 June 2026 at 19:00BMO Field
Senegal

Senegal

Elo Rating: 1800
VS
Iraq

Iraq

Elo Rating: 1710
Win Probability
50%
Home Win
20%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Senegal (+90 pts)
  • 2Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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