← World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2
Sunday, 21 June 2026 at 16:00Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Spain

Spain

Elo Rating: 1965
VS
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

Elo Rating: 1760
Win Probability
64%
Home Win
16%
Draw
20%
Away Win
Predicted: Home Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Significant Elo advantage for Spain (+205 pts)
  • 2Spain is a top-10 ranked nation
  • 3Limited H2H history between these sides
  • 4Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.