← World Cup 2026

FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2Sunday, 21 June 2026 at 04:00Estadio BBVA, Monterrey

Tunisia
Elo Rating: 1710
VS

Japan
Elo Rating: 1830
Win Probability
27%
Home Win
19%
Draw
54%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM
Key Factors
- 1Moderate Elo edge for Japan (+120 pts)
- 2H2H record over 2 historical meetings analysed
- 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage
H2H analysed: 2 matches
Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions
This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.
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18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.