← World Cup 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Group Stage - 2
Sunday, 21 June 2026 at 04:00Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Tunisia

Tunisia

Elo Rating: 1710
VS
Japan

Japan

Elo Rating: 1830
Win Probability
27%
Home Win
19%
Draw
54%
Away Win
Predicted: Away Win
Confidence: MEDIUM

Key Factors

  • 1Moderate Elo edge for Japan (+120 pts)
  • 2H2H record over 2 historical meetings analysed
  • 3Neutral venue (USA/Canada/Mexico) — no home advantage

H2H analysed: 2 matches

Experimental model · Elo-based · Lower accuracy than club predictions

This prediction uses an Elo-based model without xG, possession or shots data. Accuracy is lower than our club football XGBoost model. Use for entertainment only.

Place Your Bet

18+ · Gamble Responsibly · Analysis only, not financial advice.